{"id":10072,"date":"2023-02-23T18:11:08","date_gmt":"2023-02-23T18:11:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=10072"},"modified":"2023-02-23T18:11:08","modified_gmt":"2023-02-23T18:11:08","slug":"covid-stimulus-spending-played-sizable-role-in-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=10072","title":{"rendered":"COVID Stimulus Spending Played &#8216;Sizable Role&#8217; in Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\n\n&#8220;&#8221;We find that excess inflation is significantly correlated to each country&#8217;s own domestic stimulus and to various exposures of foreign stimulus,&#8221; concluded a trio of economists at the St. Louis Federal Reserve in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/files.stlouisfed.org\/files\/htdocs\/publications\/review\/2023\/01\/20\/demand-supply-imbalance-during-the-covid-19-pandemic-the-role-of-fiscal-policy.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a report<\/a>&nbsp;published last month. In the U.S., they found that &#8220;fiscal stimulus during the pandemic contributed to an increase in inflation of about 2.6 percentage points.&#8221;<br>That&#8217;s a significant increase, even if it doesn&#8217;t account for the full run-up of inflation that took place during the past 18 months. Price increases accelerated&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/fact-tank\/2021\/11\/24\/inflation-has-risen-around-the-world-but-the-u-s-has-seen-one-of-the-biggest-increases\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">in late 2021<\/a>&nbsp;and throughout 2022, ultimately peaking at an annualized rate of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/opub\/ted\/2022\/consumer-prices-up-9-1-percent-over-the-year-ended-june-2022-largest-increase-in-40-years.htm#:~:text=Consumer%20prices%20up%209.1%20percent,U.S.%20Bureau%20of%20Labor%20Statistics&amp;text=The%20.,gov%20means%20it's%20official.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">9.1 percent<\/a>&nbsp;in June.<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;Other recent reviews of COVID-era stimulus bills have come to a similar conclusion. In&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/deliverypdf.ssrn.com\/delivery.php?ID=696117021029082083118116101083117092003022059077010067123122074126081090018090002124055045059003055045042123115011019015122100061052089087080011090083015026004007052011024125099113097027109103099114095001066091094030068000091107103025104029126083114&amp;EXT=pdf&amp;INDEX=TRUE\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a paper<\/a>&nbsp;published in September, economists at Johns Hopkins University and the Chicago Federal Reserve&nbsp;said &#8220;fiscal inflation&#8221; accounted for &#8220;approximately half&#8221; of the recent price increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s troubling, they added, because &#8220;fiscal inflation tends to be highly<br>persistent\u2026When inflation has a fiscal nature, monetary policy alone may not provide an effective response.&#8221;So far, the chief response to inflation has been a monetary one.&#8221;&#8221;<br><a href=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/2023\/02\/02\/covid-stimulus-spending-played-sizable-role-in-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/reason.com\/2023\/02\/02\/covid-stimulus-spending-played-sizable-role-in-inflation\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;&#8221;We find that excess inflation is significantly correlated to each country&#8217;s own domestic stimulus and to various exposures of foreign stimulus,&#8221; concluded a trio of economists at the St. Louis Federal Reserve in a report published last month. In the U.S., they found that &#8220;fiscal stimulus during the pandemic contributed to an increase in inflation of about 2.6 percentage points.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s a significant increase, even if it doesn&#8217;t account for the full run-up of inflation that took place during the past 18 months. Price increases accelerated in late 2021 and throughout 2022, ultimately peaking at an annualized rate of 9.1 percent in June.<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Other recent reviews of COVID-era stimulus bills have come to a similar conclusion. In a paper published in September, economists at Johns Hopkins University and the Chicago Federal Reserve said &#8220;fiscal inflation&#8221; accounted for &#8220;approximately half&#8221; of the recent price increases.<br \/>\nThat&#8217;s troubling, they added, because &#8220;fiscal inflation tends to be highly<br \/>\npersistent\u2026When inflation has a fiscal nature, monetary policy alone may not provide an effective response.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>So far, the chief response to inflation has been a monetary one.&#8221;&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[588,409,483,217,165,1469,1316,1407,624],"class_list":["post-10072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-corona","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-economics","tag-economy","tag-government-intervention","tag-inflation","tag-prices","tag-stimulus"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10072","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10072"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10072\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10073,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10072\/revisions\/10073"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}