{"id":13904,"date":"2024-06-11T17:20:33","date_gmt":"2024-06-11T17:20:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=13904"},"modified":"2024-06-11T17:20:33","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T17:20:33","slug":"the-conviction-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=13904","title":{"rendered":"The Conviction Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;In the roughly week and a half since former president (and presumptive Republican presidential nominee) Donald Trump was convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying records to hide hush-money payments to a porn star, numerous&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.axios.com\/2024\/06\/09\/biden-trump-2024-polls-post-conviction-lead\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">national polls<\/a>&nbsp;have indicated that voters have moved slightly toward incumbent president (and presumptive Democratic presidential nominee) Joe Biden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A HarrisX\/<em>Forbes&nbsp;<\/em>poll found Biden and Trump each getting a one-point bump after the verdict. A Reuters\/Ipsos poll found a one-point bump for Biden, with Trump losing a point. A Morning Consult poll found a one-point bump for Biden, with Trump neither gaining nor losing any ground. And an Echelon Insights poll found a two-point Biden bump, with Trump support staying flat. (All poll results can be found in a chart&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/538\/trumps-conviction-hurting-early\/story?id=110790504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>.)&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;&#8221;The verdict has not overhauled the 2024 race nearly as much as Democrats hoped it would,&#8221;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2024\/06\/06\/campaign-moment\/?pwapi_token=eyJ0eXAiOiJKV1QiLCJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJyZWFzb24iOiJnaWZ0IiwibmJmIjoxNzE3ODE5MjAwLCJpc3MiOiJzdWJzY3JpcHRpb25zIiwiZXhwIjoxNzE5MjAxNTk5LCJpYXQiOjE3MTc4MTkyMDAsImp0aSI6ImI1YWZkNjdkLTJiOWMtNDczMi1iNGEzLWU3YjQxZDM0YjQ3ZSIsInVybCI6Imh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lndhc2hpbmd0b25wb3N0LmNvbS9wb2xpdGljcy8yMDI0LzA2LzA2L2NhbXBhaWduLW1vbWVudC8ifQ.2J8CVSf30WeKiOVDwOsC1CUXAQJnpXYhv6b-raAQMpI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">writes<\/a>&nbsp;<em>The Washington Post<\/em>&#8216;s Aaron Blake. &#8220;But the totality of the evidence suggests it has dinged Trump a little.&#8221;&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-reason-com wp-block-embed-reason-com\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"EWnZikGj6p\"><a href=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/2024\/06\/10\/the-conviction-effect\/\">The Conviction Effect<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;The Conviction Effect&#8221; &#8212; Reason.com\" src=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/2024\/06\/10\/the-conviction-effect\/embed\/#?secret=pAkVFu6qIH#?secret=EWnZikGj6p\" data-secret=\"EWnZikGj6p\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;In the roughly week and a half since former president (and presumptive Republican presidential nominee) Donald Trump was convicted of 34 felonies related to falsifying records to hide hush-money payments to a porn star, numerous national polls have indicated that voters have moved slightly toward incumbent president (and presumptive Democratic presidential nominee) Joe Biden.<br \/>\nA HarrisX\/Forbes poll found Biden and Trump each getting a one-point bump after the verdict. A Reuters\/Ipsos poll found a one-point bump for Biden, with Trump losing a point. A Morning Consult poll found a one-point bump for Biden, with Trump neither gaining nor losing any ground. And an Echelon Insights poll found a two-point Biden bump, with Trump support staying flat. (All poll results can be found in a chart here.)&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;&#8221;The verdict has not overhauled the 2024 race nearly as much as Democrats hoped it would,&#8221; writes The Washington Post&#8217;s Aaron Blake. &#8220;But the totality of the evidence suggests it has dinged Trump a little.&#8221;&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/reason.com\/2024\/06\/10\/the-conviction-effect\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[744,280,221,372,249,1261,170],"class_list":["post-13904","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-crime","tag-criminal-justice","tag-donald-trump","tag-election","tag-fraud","tag-marriage","tag-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13904","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13904"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13904\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13905,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13904\/revisions\/13905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13904"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13904"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13904"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}