{"id":15580,"date":"2024-12-04T18:40:28","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T18:40:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=15580"},"modified":"2024-12-04T18:40:35","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T18:40:35","slug":"what-the-gender-gap-tells-us-about-trumps-win","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=15580","title":{"rendered":"What the gender gap tells us about Trump&#8217;s win"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>&#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Elections\/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">According to exit polls<\/a>, 55 percent of men voted for Trump in 2024, compared to 45 percent of women, for a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/election\/2024\/exit-polls\/national-results\/general\/president\/0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">10-point gender gap<\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 1 point less than the 11-point gap in support for Trump in both 2020 and 2016.*<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Compared to other exit polling results that point to how Trump&#8217;s victory may have&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/538\/voters-chose-trump\/story?id=115827243\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">boiled down to a referendum<\/a>&nbsp;on President Joe Biden and the economy, this relatively static gender gap may not point to gender as a major factor in the election. But differences in the gender gap across groups of voters \u2014 such as growing gaps among Black and Latino voters \u2014 can tell us more about the country&#8217;s changing partisan landscape. And there&#8217;s a reason&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/magazine\/dispatches\/how-america-embraced-gender-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">gender has also been widely discussed<\/a>&nbsp;in the aftermath of Election Day: The role that gender played in each party&#8217;s 2024 presidential campaigns highlights a potential shift in the parties&#8217; approaches to male and female voters, and how voters think about gender and politics.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Trump&#8217;s 11-point gap in support between men and women in 2016 and 2020 was a record, but men have been consistently more likely than women to back Republicans&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/women-won-the-right-to-vote-100-years-ago-they-didnt-start-voting-differently-from-men-until-1980\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">since 1980<\/a>. From then until 2016, the gender gap in support for Republicans ranged from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/cawp.rutgers.edu\/gender-gap-voting-choices-presidential-elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">0 points (in 1992) to 10 points (in 2000)<\/a>, according to exit polls. (The phenomenon of men consistently showing stronger support for the more ideologically conservative party than women is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/journals.sagepub.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1177\/0192512100214007\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">not limited to the U.S., either<\/a>.)&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;the gender gap isn&#8217;t uniform across all groups. For example, white men and women voted more similarly to each other in 2024 than Black or Latino men and women.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Nonwhite and younger voters had the largest gender gaps&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;in 2020 Trump won 61 percent of white men and 55 percent of white women, for a 6-point gender gap among white voters. That gap was just 1 point bigger this year according to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/election\/2024\/exit-polls\/national-results\/general\/president\/0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">exit polls<\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 60 percent to 53 percent, for a 7-point gender gap among white voters. But the gender gap among nonwhite voters increased by significantly more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&nbsp;Among Black voters, even as the vast majority of both men and women voted Democratic in both elections, Trump gained 2 points of support among men and lost 2 among women, moving the gender gap from 10 points in 2020 to 14 points in 2024. The gap is even more striking among Latino voters, one of the groups among whom Trump gained the most support overall compared to 2020. Four years ago, 36 percent of Latino men and 30 percent of Latino women supported Trump, a gender gap of just 6 points. That gap nearly tripled in 2024, as Trump&#8217;s support among Latino men went up by almost 20 percentage points: He won 55 percent of Latino men and 38 percent of Latino women, for a gender gap of 17 points.&#8221;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;49 percent of men and 37 percent of women aged 18 to 29 supported Trump, for a 12-point gender gap, 3 points larger than in 2020. The gap among men and women aged 30 to 39 was also 12 points, while it actually shrank among voters over 50.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/538\/gender-gap-tells-us-trumps-win\/story?id=115996226\">https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/538\/gender-gap-tells-us-trumps-win\/story?id=115996226<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;According to exit polls, 55 percent of men voted for Trump in 2024, compared to 45 percent of women, for a 10-point gender gap \u2014 1 point less than the 11-point gap in support for Trump in both 2020 and 2016.*<br \/>\nCompared to other exit polling results that point to how Trump&#8217;s victory may have boiled down to a referendum on President Joe Biden and the economy, this relatively static gender gap may not point to gender as a major factor in the election. But differences in the gender gap across groups of voters \u2014 such as growing gaps among Black and Latino voters \u2014 can tell us more about the country&#8217;s changing partisan landscape. And there&#8217;s a reason gender has also been widely discussed in the aftermath of Election Day: The role that gender played in each party&#8217;s 2024 presidential campaigns highlights a potential shift in the parties&#8217; approaches to male and female voters, and how voters think about gender and politics.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Trump&#8217;s 11-point gap in support between men and women in 2016 and 2020 was a record, but men have been consistently more likely than women to back Republicans since 1980. From then until 2016, the gender gap in support for Republicans ranged from 0 points (in 1992) to 10 points (in 2000), according to exit polls. (The phenomenon of men consistently showing stronger support for the more ideologically conservative party than women is not limited to the U.S., either.)&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;the gender gap isn&#8217;t uniform across all groups. For example, white men and women voted more similarly to each other in 2024 than Black or Latino men and women.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Nonwhite and younger voters had the largest gender gaps&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;in 2020 Trump won 61 percent of white men and 55 percent of white women, for a 6-point gender gap among white voters. That gap was just 1 point bigger this year according to exit polls \u2014 60 percent to 53 percent, for a 7-point gender gap among white voters. But the gender gap among nonwhite voters increased by significantly more.<\/p>\n<p> Among Black voters, even as the vast majority of both men and women voted Democratic in both elections, Trump gained 2 points of support among men and lost 2 among women, moving the gender gap from 10 points in 2020 to 14 points in 2024. The gap is even more striking among Latino voters, one of the groups among whom Trump gained the most support overall compared to 2020. Four years ago, 36 percent of Latino men and 30 percent of Latino women supported Trump, a gender gap of just 6 points. That gap nearly tripled in 2024, as Trump&#8217;s support among Latino men went up by almost 20 percentage points: He won 55 percent of Latino men and 38 percent of Latino women, for a gender gap of 17 points.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;49 percent of men and 37 percent of women aged 18 to 29 supported Trump, for a 12-point gender gap, 3 points larger than in 2020. The gap among men and women aged 30 to 39 was also 12 points, while it actually shrank among voters over 50.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/538\/gender-gap-tells-us-trumps-win\/story?id=115996226<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[219,221,372,198,421,637,751,642,130,787,170,1088],"class_list":["post-15580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-conservatives","tag-donald-trump","tag-election","tag-elections","tag-gender","tag-polling","tag-polls","tag-race","tag-republican","tag-sex","tag-trump","tag-votes"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15580"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15580\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15582,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15580\/revisions\/15582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}