{"id":16846,"date":"2025-03-18T22:53:32","date_gmt":"2025-03-18T22:53:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=16846"},"modified":"2025-03-18T22:53:32","modified_gmt":"2025-03-18T22:53:32","slug":"is-trumps-trade-war-causing-a-recession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=16846","title":{"rendered":"Is Trump&#8217;s Trade War Causing a Recession?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>&#8220;Any hope of robust economic growth resulting from unleashing energy abundance, deregulating the private sector economy, or pro-growth tax policy may now be doused by the economic fallout of a pointless trade war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It started as a murmur\u2014a slight downward revision, nothing alarming. But within five days, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta&#8217;s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlantafed.org\/cqer\/research\/gdpnow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">GDPNow<\/a>&nbsp;forecast for the first quarter of 2025 went from mild optimism (2.3 percent growth) to outright recessionary territory (-1.5 percent). By March 3, the number had plunged to -2.8 percent, the kind of contraction that doesn&#8217;t just signal weakness but outright economic distress. Eight months of stock market gains were wiped out in less than four weeks.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Global supply chains are rattled, businesses are reluctant to invest in capital, and consumers are cutting back on purchases. Tariffs\u2014pitched as a way to bring jobs back\u2014have instead choked growth. The administration&#8217;s bet that protectionism would insulate the economy from foreign competition is proving to be precisely the opposite: a self-inflicted wound.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/2025\/03\/17\/is-trumps-trade-war-causing-a-recession\">https:\/\/reason.com\/2025\/03\/17\/is-trumps-trade-war-causing-a-recession<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Any hope of robust economic growth resulting from unleashing energy abundance, deregulating the private sector economy, or pro-growth tax policy may now be doused by the economic fallout of a pointless trade war.<br \/>\nIt started as a murmur\u2014a slight downward revision, nothing alarming. But within five days, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta&#8217;s GDPNow forecast for the first quarter of 2025 went from mild optimism (2.3 percent growth) to outright recessionary territory (-1.5 percent). By March 3, the number had plunged to -2.8 percent, the kind of contraction that doesn&#8217;t just signal weakness but outright economic distress. Eight months of stock market gains were wiped out in less than four weeks.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Global supply chains are rattled, businesses are reluctant to invest in capital, and consumers are cutting back on purchases. Tariffs\u2014pitched as a way to bring jobs back\u2014have instead choked growth. The administration&#8217;s bet that protectionism would insulate the economy from foreign competition is proving to be precisely the opposite: a self-inflicted wound.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/reason.com\/2025\/03\/17\/is-trumps-trade-war-causing-a-recession\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[221,217,165,272,1722,1348,290,314,592,208,141,226,227,170],"class_list":["post-16846","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-donald-trump","tag-economics","tag-economy","tag-foreign-affairs","tag-foreign-aid","tag-gdp","tag-imports","tag-international-relations","tag-recession","tag-tariffs","tag-taxes","tag-trade","tag-trade-war","tag-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16846","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16846"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16846\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16847,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16846\/revisions\/16847"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16846"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16846"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16846"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}