{"id":3450,"date":"2020-09-16T20:13:13","date_gmt":"2020-09-16T20:13:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=3450"},"modified":"2020-09-16T20:13:13","modified_gmt":"2020-09-16T20:13:13","slug":"if-the-us-had-canadas-covid-19-death-rate-100000-more-americans-would-likely-be-alive-today","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=3450","title":{"rendered":"If the US had Canada\u2019s Covid-19 death rate, 100,000 more Americans would likely be alive today"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\n\n&#8220;the US accounts for about 4 percent of the world\u2019s population but 22 percent of its confirmed Covid-19 deaths. So how many lives would be saved if those numbers were even? Leonhardt calculated: \u201cabout 145,000.&#8221;<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Columnist Ross Douthat&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/09\/05\/opinion\/sunday\/covid-19-trump.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">took issue<\/a>&nbsp;with that approach. Arguing that \u201cthe patterns for Covid-19 fatalities often look more region-specific than country-specific,\u201d he compared the US to a slew of countries in the Western Hemisphere, particularly in Latin America and parts of Europe. By that toll, the US doesn\u2019t seem to do so badly, with a death rate close to that of Brazil, France, Mexico, and the United Kingdom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Douthat\u2019s list, despite calling for a regional comparison, doesn\u2019t include Canada, arguably the country most similar to the US in the Western Hemisphere and one that\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/2020\/5\/4\/21242750\/coronavirus-covid-19-united-states-canada-trump-trudeau\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">done a much better job fighting the coronavirus than the US<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So that got me wondering: What would a more comprehensive comparison look like? What would the US death toll be like if the country had the same rate of Covid-19 deaths as some other wealthy nations, accounting for population differences?&#8221;&#8230;<br>&#8220;peer-country death tolls really don\u2019t look like ours. The US is doing about seven times worse than the median developed country, ranking in the bottom 20 percent for Covid-19 deaths among wealthy nations. Tens of thousands of lives have been lost as a result.&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;a lot of this is on Trump. As cases climbed in the US, the president&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/future-perfect\/21366624\/trump-covid-coronavirus-pandemic-failure\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">abdicated problems with testing<\/a>&nbsp;to local, state, and private actors; pushed states to reopen way too early to supposedly&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1251169217531056130?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cLIBERATE\u201d<\/a>&nbsp;their economies;&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/2020\/6\/18\/21295826\/coronavirus-us-update-trump-wsj-interview-masks-tests\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">spoke negatively<\/a>&nbsp;about masks while refusing to wear one himself; and backed unproven and even dangerous approaches to treating Covid-19, including&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/2020\/4\/24\/21234427\/trump-coronavirus-bleach-injection-ultraviolet-light-treatment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">injecting bleach<\/a>. Each of these failures compounded and led to the current US death toll \u2014 and local and state governments,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/future-perfect\/2020\/7\/30\/21331369\/london-breed-coronavirus-covid-san-francisco-california-trump\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">as hard as some tried<\/a>, simply don\u2019t have the resources to fight a pandemic on their own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Compare that to Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, or Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. These are leaders all over the political spectrum, but they took the pandemic seriously \u2014 building up testing, advocating for mask-wearing, encouraging social distancing, or all of the above. And their countries are much better off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There\u2019s still time for things to go a different way. Maybe the US will somehow get its act together, avoiding another wave of infections and deaths. Maybe other developed countries will see massive second waves similar to America\u2019s. (Spain and France, after relaxing social distancing and going easy on masking,\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&amp;year=latest&amp;time=2019-12-31..2020-09-07&amp;country=USA~ITA~ESP~FRA~DEU~BEL~PRT~GBR~JPN~AUS~NZL~KOR~EuropeanUnion~TWN~CAN~NOR~SWE~DNK&amp;region=World&amp;casesMetric=true&amp;interval=smoothed&amp;perCapita=true&amp;smoothing=7&amp;pickerMetric=location&amp;pickerSort=asc\" target=\"_blank\">already are<\/a>.)But for now, the US has suffered a much worse Covid-19 outbreak and death toll than all but a handful of its developed peers. It\u2019s a predictable, preventable catastrophe.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/future-perfect\/2020\/9\/9\/21428769\/covid-19-coronavirus-deaths-statistics-us-canada-europe\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.vox.com\/future-perfect\/2020\/9\/9\/21428769\/covid-19-coronavirus-deaths-statistics-us-canada-europe<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;the US accounts for about 4 percent of the world\u2019s population but 22 percent of its confirmed Covid-19 deaths. So how many lives would be saved if those numbers were even? Leonhardt calculated: \u201cabout 145,000.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Columnist Ross Douthat took issue with that approach. Arguing that \u201cthe patterns for Covid-19 fatalities often look more region-specific than country-specific,\u201d he compared the US to a slew of countries in the Western Hemisphere, particularly in Latin America and parts of Europe. By that toll, the US doesn\u2019t seem to do so badly, with a death rate close to that of Brazil, France, Mexico, and the United Kingdom.<\/p>\n<p>But Douthat\u2019s list, despite calling for a regional comparison, doesn\u2019t include Canada, arguably the country most similar to the US in the Western Hemisphere and one that\u2019s done a much better job fighting the coronavirus than the US.<\/p>\n<p>So that got me wondering: What would a more comprehensive comparison look like? What would the US death toll be like if the country had the same rate of Covid-19 deaths as some other wealthy nations, accounting for population differences?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;peer-country death tolls really don\u2019t look like ours. The US is doing about seven times worse than the median developed country, ranking in the bottom 20 percent for Covid-19 deaths among wealthy nations. Tens of thousands of lives have been lost as a result.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;a lot of this is on Trump. As cases climbed in the US, the president abdicated problems with testing to local, state, and private actors; pushed states to reopen way too early to supposedly \u201cLIBERATE\u201d their economies; spoke negatively about masks while refusing to wear one himself; and backed unproven and even dangerous approaches to treating Covid-19, including injecting bleach. Each of these failures compounded and led to the current US death toll \u2014 and local and state governments, as hard as some tried, simply don\u2019t have the resources to fight a pandemic on their own.<br \/>\nCompare that to Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, or Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. These are leaders all over the political spectrum, but they took the pandemic seriously \u2014 building up testing, advocating for mask-wearing, encouraging social distancing, or all of the above. And their countries are much better off.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s still time for things to go a different way. Maybe the US will somehow get its act together, avoiding another wave of infections and deaths. Maybe other developed countries will see massive second waves similar to America\u2019s. (Spain and France, after relaxing social distancing and going easy on masking, already are.)<\/p>\n<p>But for now, the US has suffered a much worse Covid-19 outbreak and death toll than all but a handful of its developed peers. It\u2019s a predictable, preventable catastrophe.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[588,409,483],"class_list":["post-3450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-corona","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3450","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3450"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3450\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3451,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3450\/revisions\/3451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}