{"id":3570,"date":"2020-10-06T00:46:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-06T00:46:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=3570"},"modified":"2020-10-06T00:46:00","modified_gmt":"2020-10-06T00:46:00","slug":"to-achieve-racial-justice-americas-broken-democracy-must-be-fixed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=3570","title":{"rendered":"To achieve racial justice, America\u2019s broken democracy must be fixed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\n\n&#8220;The Senate and Electoral College systematically underweight the votes of people of color \u2014 and the judiciary operates directly downstream of those biases. Washington, DC, home to the largest plurality of Black Americans in the country, is excluded entirely from federal representation. The filibuster has historically been used to block or delay anti-lynching laws and civil rights legislation&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;Since 2000, 40 percent of presidential elections have been won by the loser of the popular vote. A 2019 study<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/policy-and-politics\/2019\/9\/17\/20868790\/republicans-lose-popular-vote-win-electoral-college\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;found<\/a>&nbsp;that Republicans should be expected to win 65 percent of presidential contests in which they narrowly lose the popular vote, and could potentially win while losing the popular vote by as much as 6 percentage points. And this November, FiveThirtyEight\u2019s Nate Silver&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1301190941110341632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">calculates<\/a>&nbsp;that Democratic nominee Joe Biden only has a 6 percent chance of winning the Electoral College if he wins the popular vote by 0 to 1 points, a 22 percent chance if he wins by 1 to 2 points, and less than a 50 percent chance if he wins by 2-3 points.&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;The Senate is even more extreme. In a 2019 Data for Progress&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/filesforprogress.org\/memos\/the-senate-is-an-irredeemable-institution.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">analysis<\/a>, Colin McAuliffe found that the Senate has a 3 percentage point tilt toward Republicans (double the 1.5 percent skew in the Electoral College). And that is probably an understatement \u2014 Silver&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/the-senates-rural-skew-makes-it-very-hard-for-democrats-to-win-the-supreme-court\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">recently calculated<\/a>&nbsp;that the Senate is \u201ceffectively 6 to 7 percentage points redder than the country as a whole.\u201d As my colleague Matt Yglesias&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/policy-and-politics\/2019\/12\/17\/21011079\/senate-bias-2020-data-for-progress\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">points out<\/a>, in 2014, Republican candidates won 52 percent of the popular Senate vote and gained nine Senate seats; in 2016, Democrats won 54 percent of the vote and gained only two seats; and in 2018, Democrats won 54 percent of the vote and&nbsp;<em>lost<\/em>&nbsp;two seats.<br>&#8220;Because the president appoints federal judges and the Senate confirms them, these biases are also reflected in the judiciary, where the Trump administration has already filled federal court benches with an&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/policy-and-politics\/2019\/12\/9\/20962980\/trump-supreme-court-federal-judges\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">unprecedented number<\/a>&nbsp;of young, highly ideological conservative judges, including two Supreme Court justices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s important to underscore the mechanism that generates and sustains this partisan bias: US political institutions systematically underweight the interests of nonwhite Americans.&#8221;&nbsp;&nbsp;&#8230;<br>&#8220;Analyzing the results of the 2016 presidential election, statisticians Andrew Gelman and Pierre-Antoine Kremp&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/the-big-idea\/2016\/11\/22\/13713148\/electoral-college-democracy-race-white-voters\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">found<\/a>&nbsp;that \u201cper voter, whites have 16 percent more power than blacks once the Electoral College is taken into consideration, 28 percent more power than Latinos, and 57 percent more power than those who fall into the other category.\u201d<br>Behind the Senate\u2019s partisan tilt is that it overrepresents people living in small states who tend to be whiter, on average, than people living in larger states. California, which has large Black and brown populations, and Wyoming, a predominantly white state, have equal representation in the Senate, despite the former having over 60 times more people than the latter.&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;this racial skew distorts policy preferences on issues ranging from gun control to the minimum wage to environmental policy. For instance, 48 percent of Americans believe controlling gun ownership is more important than protecting gun rights; however, when you weigh voter preferences as the Senate does \u2014 giving equal representation to each state \u2014 support for gun control drops a whopping 5 points, to 43 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Because the Senate overweights the preferences of white Americans, who tend to favor gun rights, and underweights the preferences of Black and brown Americans, who tend to favor gun control. By that same mechanism, McAuliffe finds that support for a $15 minimum wage also drops 5 points (from 58 to 53 percent), and a $100 billion yearly investment in green social housing drops 3 points (63 to 60 percent).&#8221;\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0&#8230;<br>&#8220;This is the status quo that Just Democracy\u2019s coalition members aim to change \u2014 and they have a few proposals to do so.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><br><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/21446880\/just-democracy-reform-gun-violence-police-brutality-climate-change\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.vox.com\/21446880\/just-democracy-reform-gun-violence-police-brutality-climate-change<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;The Senate and Electoral College systematically underweight the votes of people of color \u2014 and the judiciary operates directly downstream of those biases. Washington, DC, home to the largest plurality of Black Americans in the country, is excluded entirely from federal representation. The filibuster has historically been used to block or delay anti-lynching laws and civil rights legislation&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Since 2000, 40 percent of presidential elections have been won by the loser of the popular vote. A 2019 study found that Republicans should be expected to win 65 percent of presidential contests in which they narrowly lose the popular vote, and could potentially win while losing the popular vote by as much as 6 percentage points. And this November, FiveThirtyEight\u2019s Nate Silver calculates that Democratic nominee Joe Biden only has a 6 percent chance of winning the Electoral College if he wins the popular vote by 0 to 1 points, a 22 percent chance if he wins by 1 to 2 points, and less than a 50 percent chance if he wins by 2-3 points.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The Senate is even more extreme. In a 2019 Data for Progress analysis, Colin McAuliffe found that the Senate has a 3 percentage point tilt toward Republicans (double the 1.5 percent skew in the Electoral College). And that is probably an understatement \u2014 Silver recently calculated that the Senate is \u201ceffectively 6 to 7 percentage points redder than the country as a whole.\u201d As my colleague Matt Yglesias points out, in 2014, Republican candidates won 52 percent of the popular Senate vote and gained nine Senate seats; in 2016, Democrats won 54 percent of the vote and gained only two seats; and in 2018, Democrats won 54 percent of the vote and lost two seats.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Because the president appoints federal judges and the Senate confirms them, these biases are also reflected in the judiciary, where the Trump administration has already filled federal court benches with an unprecedented number of young, highly ideological conservative judges, including two Supreme Court justices.<br \/>\nIt\u2019s important to underscore the mechanism that generates and sustains this partisan bias: US political institutions systematically underweight the interests of nonwhite Americans.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Analyzing the results of the 2016 presidential election, statisticians Andrew Gelman and Pierre-Antoine Kremp found that \u201cper voter, whites have 16 percent more power than blacks once the Electoral College is taken into consideration, 28 percent more power than Latinos, and 57 percent more power than those who fall into the other category.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Behind the Senate\u2019s partisan tilt is that it overrepresents people living in small states who tend to be whiter, on average, than people living in larger states. California, which has large Black and brown populations, and Wyoming, a predominantly white state, have equal representation in the Senate, despite the former having over 60 times more people than the latter.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;this racial skew distorts policy preferences on issues ranging from gun control to the minimum wage to environmental policy. For instance, 48 percent of Americans believe controlling gun ownership is more important than protecting gun rights; however, when you weigh voter preferences as the Senate does \u2014 giving equal representation to each state \u2014 support for gun control drops a whopping 5 points, to 43 percent.<br \/>\nWhy? Because the Senate overweights the preferences of white Americans, who tend to favor gun rights, and underweights the preferences of Black and brown Americans, who tend to favor gun control. By that same mechanism, McAuliffe finds that support for a $15 minimum wage also drops 5 points (from 58 to 53 percent), and a $100 billion yearly investment in green social housing drops 3 points (63 to 60 percent).&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p> &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is the status quo that Just Democracy\u2019s coalition members aim to change \u2014 and they have a few proposals to do so.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[56,1019,167,642,49,865,528],"class_list":["post-3570","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-black","tag-electoral-college","tag-government","tag-race","tag-racial-bias","tag-senate","tag-supreme-court"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3570","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3570"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3570\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3571,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3570\/revisions\/3571"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3570"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3570"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3570"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}