{"id":4803,"date":"2021-03-28T15:47:02","date_gmt":"2021-03-28T15:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=4803"},"modified":"2021-03-28T15:47:02","modified_gmt":"2021-03-28T15:47:02","slug":"why-a-biden-blowout-didnt-happen-and-why-a-2024-blowout-is-unlikely-too","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=4803","title":{"rendered":"Why A Biden Blowout Didn\u2019t Happen (And Why A 2024 Blowout Is Unlikely, Too)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\n\n“While presidential contests have been consistently competitive since 1988, it\u2019s true that not every race has sat on a knife-edge. For instance, there wasn\u2019t much doubt<\/a> that Bill Clinton was going to win reelection in 1996, and he won by 8.5 points<\/a>, the largest margin of victory in the nine elections from 1988 to 2020. But before you doubt that a 10-point margin is a helpful barometer of competitiveness, consider that from 1904 to 1984, 12 elections were settled by double-digit margins compared to just nine by single-digit ones. By comparison, not a single election from 1876 to 1900 or from 1988 to 2020 was a blowout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s no coincidence that the late 19th century is the most comparable period to the present. Few people in the 1880s could mistake a Democrat for a Republican because the parties differed sharply in their views \u2014 something that is also true today<\/a>. Case in point: the last time the average Democrat and Republican in Congress were this far apart ideologically was between the 1870s and early 1900s, according to Voteview<\/a>, which measures the relative liberalism or conservatism<\/a> of senators and representatives based on their voting records.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Why A Biden Blowout Didn\u2019t Happen (And Why A 2024 Blowout Is Unlikely, Too)<\/a><\/blockquote>