{"id":5304,"date":"2021-06-04T20:01:56","date_gmt":"2021-06-04T20:01:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=5304"},"modified":"2021-06-04T20:01:56","modified_gmt":"2021-06-04T20:01:56","slug":"germany-contained-covid-19-politics-brought-it-back","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=5304","title":{"rendered":"Germany contained Covid-19. Politics brought it back."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\n\n&#8220;In the span of a few months, Germany has gone from a shining example of a country that rallied the public behind a Covid-19 strategy to a cautionary tale about what can happen when that strategy falls apart.&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;Unified, clear public health communication saved lives \u2014 but as the months dragged on, it was no match for shifting national politics, a fragmented system of government, and a public so tired of the pandemic that they came up with a word for the exhaustion: \u201ccoronam\u00fcde.\u201d<br>Germany still&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/explorers\/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&amp;time=2020-02-15..latest&amp;pickerSort=asc&amp;pickerMetric=location&amp;Metric=Confirmed+deaths&amp;Interval=Cumulative&amp;Relative+to+Population=true&amp;Align+outbreaks=false&amp;country=DEU~EuropeanUnion~European+Union~USA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reports<\/a>&nbsp;about two-thirds the Covid-19 deaths per capita as the rest of the EU, and about half the per capita death toll of the US. But its lead has shrunk over time&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;In September, after Germany\u2019s summer of freedom, Oktoberfest arrived. Munich\u2019s iconic festival was canceled, but some beer halls around Germany&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/travel\/2020\/09\/24\/oktoberfest-german-festival-takes-new-form-amid-covid-19-pandemic\/5758994002\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">held their own celebrations<\/a>. Organizers claimed the gatherings were regulated with masking and social distancing requirements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But in reality, many Germans came together, maskless, by the dozens in indoor spaces, sitting tightly across long tables as they drank beer, yelled, and laughed \u2014 spitting all over each other particles that can carry the coronavirus and transmit the disease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It was emblematic of the kind of freedom, beyond Oktoberfest, that Germans embraced when they came back home from summer holidays, pouring into risky indoor spaces and disregarding some of the precautions recommended by experts and officials to contain Covid-19.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Officials seemed content to keep letting the virus spread at a faster rate, letting things get worse bit by bit. Some state leaders resisted anything resembling a lockdown; North Rhine-Westphalia School Minister Yvonne Gebauer, bolstered by regional cases dropping to the national average,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/coronavirus-merkels-bid-for-unity-hampered-by-germanys-federal-system\/a-54783414\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">argued<\/a>&nbsp;masks in classrooms were \u201cno longer necessary.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These state leaders were backed by vocal anti-lockdown segments of the population, which&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/germany-protests-coronavirus\/a-54456654\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">marched in the streets<\/a>&nbsp;in August to oppose Covid-related restrictions. The initial success against the virus \u2014 and the short-term economic damage a lockdown would bring \u2014 had also&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/projekte.uni-erfurt.de\/cosmo2020\/web\/topic\/politik\/20-akzeptanz\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">left<\/a>&nbsp;more of the public cool on the need for harsher rules.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By the end of October, the scenario Merkel warned about early in the pandemic when she explained exponential spread to a worldwide audience, came true: Daily new Covid-19 cases in Germany multiplied by seven times in the span of the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The success of the past few months had built complacency, and the federal system that allowed Jena to experiment with masks now suffocated further progress. The country\u2019s 16 state governments and Merkel\u2019s federal government couldn\u2019t come to an agreement until it was too late, after they saw the results of exponential spread firsthand.&#8221;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Public fatigue with Covid-19 \u2014 that coronam\u00fcde \u2014 also played a role. Based on his own analysis, Christian Karagiannidis, a researcher and ICU doctor at Witten\/Herdecke University, told me that the second set of lockdowns was only \u201c50 percent [as effective] as that from the first wave.\u201d He added, \u201cPeople are more or less fed up. They are tired. They are not adherent to the measures that were implemented by the German government.\u201d&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Merkel appeared to see much of this coming. As Germany prepared to reopen last summer, she&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/2020\/5\/1\/21239638\/germany-coronavirus-lockdown-reopening-merkel\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">called<\/a>&nbsp;the country\u2019s success in fighting Covid-19 at the time \u201cfragile,\u201d adding that Germany should be \u201csmart and careful\u201d in the coming months, regularly reevaluating the rules it set in place. But Merkel\u2019s constant message of caution ultimately wasn\u2019t enough to counter a fragmented federalist system \u2014 especially as politicians began competing to eventually replace her.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;German solidarity had major systemic forces stacked against it: a federalist system, a political battle to replace Merkel as head of the government, and a long pandemic that fatigued populations across Europe and the rest of the globe.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/22352348\/germany-covid-19-coronavirus-pandemic\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.vox.com\/22352348\/germany-covid-19-coronavirus-pandemic<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;In the span of a few months, Germany has gone from a shining example of a country that rallied the public behind a Covid-19 strategy to a cautionary tale about what can happen when that strategy falls apart.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Unified, clear public health communication saved lives \u2014 but as the months dragged on, it was no match for shifting national politics, a fragmented system of government, and a public so tired of the pandemic that they came up with a word for the exhaustion: \u201ccoronam\u00fcde.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Germany still reports about two-thirds the Covid-19 deaths per capita as the rest of the EU, and about half the per capita death toll of the US. But its lead has shrunk over time&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In September, after Germany\u2019s summer of freedom, Oktoberfest arrived. Munich\u2019s iconic festival was canceled, but some beer halls around Germany held their own celebrations. Organizers claimed the gatherings were regulated with masking and social distancing requirements.<br \/>\nBut in reality, many Germans came together, maskless, by the dozens in indoor spaces, sitting tightly across long tables as they drank beer, yelled, and laughed \u2014 spitting all over each other particles that can carry the coronavirus and transmit the disease.<\/p>\n<p>It was emblematic of the kind of freedom, beyond Oktoberfest, that Germans embraced when they came back home from summer holidays, pouring into risky indoor spaces and disregarding some of the precautions recommended by experts and officials to contain Covid-19.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Officials seemed content to keep letting the virus spread at a faster rate, letting things get worse bit by bit. Some state leaders resisted anything resembling a lockdown; North Rhine-Westphalia School Minister Yvonne Gebauer, bolstered by regional cases dropping to the national average, argued masks in classrooms were \u201cno longer necessary.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>These state leaders were backed by vocal anti-lockdown segments of the population, which marched in the streets in August to oppose Covid-related restrictions. The initial success against the virus \u2014 and the short-term economic damage a lockdown would bring \u2014 had also left more of the public cool on the need for harsher rules.<\/p>\n<p>By the end of October, the scenario Merkel warned about early in the pandemic when she explained exponential spread to a worldwide audience, came true: Daily new Covid-19 cases in Germany multiplied by seven times in the span of the month.<\/p>\n<p>The success of the past few months had built complacency, and the federal system that allowed Jena to experiment with masks now suffocated further progress. The country\u2019s 16 state governments and Merkel\u2019s federal government couldn\u2019t come to an agreement until it was too late, after they saw the results of exponential spread firsthand.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Public fatigue with Covid-19 \u2014 that coronam\u00fcde \u2014 also played a role. Based on his own analysis, Christian Karagiannidis, a researcher and ICU doctor at Witten\/Herdecke University, told me that the second set of lockdowns was only \u201c50 percent [as effective] as that from the first wave.\u201d He added, \u201cPeople are more or less fed up. They are tired. They are not adherent to the measures that were implemented by the German government.\u201d&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Merkel appeared to see much of this coming. As Germany prepared to reopen last summer, she called the country\u2019s success in fighting Covid-19 at the time \u201cfragile,\u201d adding that Germany should be \u201csmart and careful\u201d in the coming months, regularly reevaluating the rules it set in place. But Merkel\u2019s constant message of caution ultimately wasn\u2019t enough to counter a fragmented federalist system \u2014 especially as politicians began competing to eventually replace her.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;German solidarity had major systemic forces stacked against it: a federalist system, a political battle to replace Merkel as head of the government, and a long pandemic that fatigued populations across Europe and the rest of the globe.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[588,409,483,727,509],"class_list":["post-5304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-corona","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-germany","tag-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5304","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5304"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5304\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5305,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5304\/revisions\/5305"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}