{"id":7967,"date":"2022-05-29T14:13:32","date_gmt":"2022-05-29T14:13:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=7967"},"modified":"2022-05-29T14:13:32","modified_gmt":"2022-05-29T14:13:32","slug":"the-extreme-bias-of-floridas-new-congressional-map","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=7967","title":{"rendered":"The Extreme Bias Of Florida\u2019s New Congressional Map"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\n\n&#8220;the Florida Legislature finally&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/apantazi\/status\/1517186221038002178\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">caved to DeSantis\u2019s wishes<\/a>&nbsp;and passed one of his proposed congressional maps \u2014 the last major piece in the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/redistricting-2022-maps\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">national redistricting puzzle<\/a>. And befitting DeSantis\u2019s national reputation (and ambitions), it is a dream map for partisan Republicans, single-handedly adding four new Republicans to the U.S. House of Representatives. But while DeSantis\u2019s uncompromising insistence on maximizing Republican power may give him a nice story to tell if he runs for president, it could also be the map\u2019s undoing in court.&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;This map will significantly shake up Florida\u2019s congressional delegation, as it virtually guarantees that Democrats will lose three of their House seats in Florida&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;The map has an&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brennancenter.org\/sites\/default\/files\/legal-work\/How_the_Efficiency_Gap_Standard_Works.pdf\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">efficiency gap<\/a>&nbsp;of R+20, which means Republicans would be expected to win 20 percent more seats under this map than under a hypothetical, perfectly fair map. Because Florida has 28 congressional seats, that translates to a 5.7-seat Republican bias \u2014 right on Texas\u2019s heels for the \u201chonor\u201d of having the biggest bias of any state.&#8221;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;it didn\u2019t have to be this way. Republicans in the Legislature initially passed maps that were significantly less biased. The state House&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/504273-with-veto-looming-house-passes-a-florida-congressional-map-two-actually\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">passed<\/a>&nbsp;a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/redistricting-2022-maps\/florida\/H000C8019\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">map<\/a>&nbsp;in March that would have created 15 seats that were R+5 or redder and had an R+13 efficiency gap (though according to the inventors of efficiency gap, that would still qualify as gerrymandered). And in January, the state Senate&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/488460-florida-senate-approves-redistricting-map-for-floridas-28-u-s-house-districts\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">passed<\/a>&nbsp;a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/redistricting-2022-maps\/florida\/S035C8060\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">map<\/a>&nbsp;that was close enough to fair (an efficiency gap of only R+6) that even most Democratic senators voted for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But DeSantis\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/floridapolitics.com\/archives\/501809-ron-desantis-map-veto\/\" target=\"_blank\">pledged to veto them both<\/a>, insisting that only one of his\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/redistricting-2022-maps\/florida\/P000C0079\/\" target=\"_blank\">uber-aggressive<\/a>\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/redistricting-2022-maps\/florida\/P000C0094\/\" target=\"_blank\">proposals<\/a>\u00a0would do.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/the-extreme-bias-of-floridas-new-congressional-map\/\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/fivethirtyeight.com\/features\/the-extreme-bias-of-floridas-new-congressional-map\/<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;the Florida Legislature finally caved to DeSantis\u2019s wishes and passed one of his proposed congressional maps \u2014 the last major piece in the national redistricting puzzle. And befitting DeSantis\u2019s national reputation (and ambitions), it is a dream map for partisan Republicans, single-handedly adding four new Republicans to the U.S. House of Representatives. But while DeSantis\u2019s uncompromising insistence on maximizing Republican power may give him a nice story to tell if he runs for president, it could also be the map\u2019s undoing in court.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This map will significantly shake up Florida\u2019s congressional delegation, as it virtually guarantees that Democrats will lose three of their House seats in Florida&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The map has an efficiency gap of R+20, which means Republicans would be expected to win 20 percent more seats under this map than under a hypothetical, perfectly fair map. Because Florida has 28 congressional seats, that translates to a 5.7-seat Republican bias \u2014 right on Texas\u2019s heels for the \u201chonor\u201d of having the biggest bias of any state.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;it didn\u2019t have to be this way. Republicans in the Legislature initially passed maps that were significantly less biased. The state House passed a map in March that would have created 15 seats that were R+5 or redder and had an R+13 efficiency gap (though according to the inventors of efficiency gap, that would still qualify as gerrymandered). And in January, the state Senate passed a map that was close enough to fair (an efficiency gap of only R+6) that even most Democratic senators voted for it.<br \/>\nBut DeSantis pledged to veto them both, insisting that only one of his uber-aggressive proposals would do.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[542,1018,198,471,1052],"class_list":["post-7967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-congress","tag-congressional-districts","tag-elections","tag-florida","tag-redistricting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7967"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7967\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7968,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7967\/revisions\/7968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}