{"id":9289,"date":"2022-11-13T03:51:30","date_gmt":"2022-11-13T03:51:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=9289"},"modified":"2022-11-13T03:51:30","modified_gmt":"2022-11-13T03:51:30","slug":"is-crime-getting-better-or-worse-we-dont-really-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=9289","title":{"rendered":"Is Crime Getting Better or Worse? We Don&#8217;t Really Know."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\n\n&#8220;despite those specific-sounding FBI numbers, we don&#8217;t really know the current crime rate. The feds recently changed the way they compile data, and reporting law-enforcement agencies have yet to catch up.<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;In 2021, the FBI retired its nearly century-old national crime data collection program, the Summary Reporting System used by the Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program,&#8221; Weihua Li of The Marshall Project, which specializes in journalism about criminal-justice issues,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.themarshallproject.org\/2022\/06\/14\/what-did-fbi-data-say-about-crime-in-2021-it-s-too-unreliable-to-tell\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reported<\/a>&nbsp;earlier this year. &#8220;The agency switched to a new system, the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), which gathers more specific information on each incident.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Unfortunately, despite the advantages of the newer National Incident Based Reporting System, many state and local law enforcement agencies have yet to make the switch,&#8221; the Brennan Center&#8217;s Ames Grawert and Noah Kim&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brennancenter.org\/our-work\/research-reports\/understanding-fbis-2021-crime-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">commented<\/a>&nbsp;this month. &#8220;Law enforcement agencies covering just over half of the population reported a full year&#8217;s worth of data to the FBI in 2021. By comparison, the FBI&#8217;s recent reports have been based on data from agencies covering upwards of 95 percent of the population.&#8221;&#8221;The gap includes the nation&#8217;s two largest cities by population, New York City and Los Angeles, as well as most agencies in five of the six most populous states: California, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Florida,&#8221; added Li.&#8221;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;There are other sources of crime data aside from the FBI, point out the Brennan Center&#8217;s Grawert and Kim. But those sources, public and private, don&#8217;t entirely agree with each other. Some show increases in homicides and violent crime in 2021, though at a slower pace than in 2020; others show a decline. These sources also aren&#8217;t as well-known as the FBI data which, despite the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/nij.ojp.gov\/topics\/articles\/sources-crime-data-uniform-crime-reports-and-national-incident-based-reporting\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">flaws of the old methodology<\/a>, gave us comparable information year after year.&#8221;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br>&#8230;<br>&#8220;So, is crime getting better or worse? You can make an educated judgment about your own community. But on a larger scale, like most everything else right now, it will be a while before we sort out the mess.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-wordpress wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-reason-com\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Sk5PslVkBb\"><a href=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/2022\/10\/24\/is-crime-getting-better-or-worse-we-dont-really-know\/\">Is Crime Getting Better or Worse? We Don&#8217;t Really Know.<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Is Crime Getting Better or Worse? We Don&#039;t Really Know.&#8221; &#8212; Reason.com\" src=\"https:\/\/reason.com\/2022\/10\/24\/is-crime-getting-better-or-worse-we-dont-really-know\/embed\/#?secret=Whbq0JMFaK#?secret=Sk5PslVkBb\" data-secret=\"Sk5PslVkBb\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;despite those specific-sounding FBI numbers, we don&#8217;t really know the current crime rate. The feds recently changed the way they compile data, and reporting law-enforcement agencies have yet to catch up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In 2021, the FBI retired its nearly century-old national crime data collection program, the Summary Reporting System used by the Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) program,&#8221; Weihua Li of The Marshall Project, which specializes in journalism about criminal-justice issues, reported earlier this year. &#8220;The agency switched to a new system, the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), which gathers more specific information on each incident.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Unfortunately, despite the advantages of the newer National Incident Based Reporting System, many state and local law enforcement agencies have yet to make the switch,&#8221; the Brennan Center&#8217;s Ames Grawert and Noah Kim commented this month. &#8220;Law enforcement agencies covering just over half of the population reported a full year&#8217;s worth of data to the FBI in 2021. By comparison, the FBI&#8217;s recent reports have been based on data from agencies covering upwards of 95 percent of the population.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The gap includes the nation&#8217;s two largest cities by population, New York City and Los Angeles, as well as most agencies in five of the six most populous states: California, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Florida,&#8221; added Li.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;There are other sources of crime data aside from the FBI, point out the Brennan Center&#8217;s Grawert and Kim. But those sources, public and private, don&#8217;t entirely agree with each other. Some show increases in homicides and violent crime in 2021, though at a slower pace than in 2020; others show a decline. These sources also aren&#8217;t as well-known as the FBI data which, despite the flaws of the old methodology, gave us comparable information year after year.&#8221;  <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;So, is crime getting better or worse? You can make an educated judgment about your own community. But on a larger scale, like most everything else right now, it will be a while before we sort out the mess.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[744,299],"class_list":["post-9289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-crime","tag-crime-statistics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9289","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9289"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9289\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9290,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9289\/revisions\/9290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9289"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9289"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9289"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}