{"id":9759,"date":"2023-01-15T03:15:46","date_gmt":"2023-01-15T03:15:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=9759"},"modified":"2023-01-15T03:15:46","modified_gmt":"2023-01-15T03:15:46","slug":"why-egg-prices-keep-going-up-while-inflation-is-going-down","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/?p=9759","title":{"rendered":"Why egg prices keep going up while inflation is going down"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\n\n&#8220;The squeeze on eggs is so bad that some grocery stores are reporting&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/01\/12\/us\/egg-shortage-us.html?partner=slack&amp;smid=sl-share\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">shortages<\/a>, and some are even limiting the number of cartons customers can purchase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s a significant change for what\u2019s long been a reliably cheap staple, and there\u2019s one major culprit: the bird flu.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The last year has brought the worst bird flu outbreak in US history, and there are no signs it\u2019s going to relent soon. Some&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/flu\/avianflu\/data-map-commercial.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">57.8 million birds<\/a>&nbsp;in the US \u2014 mostly egg-laying hens \u2014 have died as a result of bird flu outbreaks surpassing the previous record of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aphis.usda.gov\/animal_health\/emergency_management\/downloads\/hpai\/2015-hpai-final-report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">50.5 million<\/a>&nbsp;in 2015, and it\u2019s not letting up.Just in the 10 days prior to Christmas, 1.5 million egg-laying hens died.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The virus is&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2022\/dec\/09\/avian-flu-has-led-to-the-killing-of-140m-farmed-birds-since-last-october\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">expected<\/a>&nbsp;to continue to circulate among wild birds and the ones we raise for food for the duration of winter, meaning egg prices \u2014 along with prices for turkey \u2014 could remain high for the foreseeable future.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;most victimsdon\u2019t die from the virus itself. Rather, they\u2019re culled, or proactively killed, in a brutal effort to prevent the virus from doing even more damage.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;a major reason why bird flu is so destructive in the US is that factory farms \u2014 with so many chickens and turkeys in such close quarters \u2014 are the perfect playing field for the virus, which is why farmers are so quick to cull infected flocks. But that very fact raises a simple, but surprisingly controversial question: If avian flu is so deadly and so economically destructive, why on earth aren\u2019t we vaccinating birds against the virus?&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;For countries in which poultry exports make up a big share of the industry\u2019s revenue \u2014 such as the US and many European countries \u2014 vaccines have largely been a nonstarter, even though they have the potential to severely limit the death toll of mass culling. Why? Blame the \u201cDIVA\u201d problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">DIVA is short for \u201cdifferentiating infected from vaccinated animals\u201d \u2014 the challenge of identifying whether a bird is actually infected with avian influenza, or just has avian influenza antibodies after vaccination. Countries fear that importing eggs or slaughtered meat from vaccinated birds in countries where the virus is circulating could inadvertently spread it within their own borders by introducing the virus to wild or domesticated animals through discarded raw meat. That means that big poultry exporters like the US \u2014 which sends&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ers.usda.gov\/topics\/animal-products\/poultry-eggs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">18 percent<\/a>&nbsp;of its poultry abroad \u2014 don\u2019t vaccinate, for fear they\u2019ll miss out on a huge part of their revenue: international trade.&#8221;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;without international coordination and predictable vaccine use, it doesn\u2019t make economic sense for vaccine makers to invest in developing vaccines that protect against the bird flu. \u201cWe\u2019re not going to make [massive investments] unless we\u2019ve got major markets on board,\u201d said du Marchie Sarvaas. \u201cAnd the only way you\u2019re going to get major markets on board is if you get some sort of political deal. And that comes to the trade point and the export point.\u201d&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;It\u2019s also a geopolitical coordination challenge, a classic&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/game-theory\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">game theory problem<\/a>&nbsp;where no major poultry-producing country wants to be the first to vaccinate. As a result, everyone sticks with the kill \u2019em all approach.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/future-perfect\/2022\/11\/22\/23472207\/bird-flu-vaccine-turkey-prices-chickens-hens-cull-depopulation\">https:\/\/www.vox.com\/future-perfect\/2022\/11\/22\/23472207\/bird-flu-vaccine-turkey-prices-chickens-hens-cull-depopulation<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;The squeeze on eggs is so bad that some grocery stores are reporting shortages, and some are even limiting the number of cartons customers can purchase.<br \/>\nIt\u2019s a significant change for what\u2019s long been a reliably cheap staple, and there\u2019s one major culprit: the bird flu.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The last year has brought the worst bird flu outbreak in US history, and there are no signs it\u2019s going to relent soon. Some 57.8 million birds in the US \u2014 mostly egg-laying hens \u2014 have died as a result of bird flu outbreaks surpassing the previous record of 50.5 million in 2015, and it\u2019s not letting up. Just in the 10 days prior to Christmas, 1.5 million egg-laying hens died.<\/p>\n<p>The virus is expected to continue to circulate among wild birds and the ones we raise for food for the duration of winter, meaning egg prices \u2014 along with prices for turkey \u2014 could remain high for the foreseeable future.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;most victims don\u2019t die from the virus itself. Rather, they\u2019re culled, or proactively killed, in a brutal effort to prevent the virus from doing even more damage.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;a major reason why bird flu is so destructive in the US is that factory farms \u2014 with so many chickens and turkeys in such close quarters \u2014 are the perfect playing field for the virus, which is why farmers are so quick to cull infected flocks. But that very fact raises a simple, but surprisingly controversial question: If avian flu is so deadly and so economically destructive, why on earth aren\u2019t we vaccinating birds against the virus?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;For countries in which poultry exports make up a big share of the industry\u2019s revenue \u2014 such as the US and many European countries \u2014 vaccines have largely been a nonstarter, even though they have the potential to severely limit the death toll of mass culling. Why? Blame the \u201cDIVA\u201d problem.<\/p>\n<p>DIVA is short for \u201cdifferentiating infected from vaccinated animals\u201d \u2014 the challenge of identifying whether a bird is actually infected with avian influenza, or just has avian influenza antibodies after vaccination. Countries fear that importing eggs or slaughtered meat from vaccinated birds in countries where the virus is circulating could inadvertently spread it within their own borders by introducing the virus to wild or domesticated animals through discarded raw meat. That means that big poultry exporters like the US \u2014 which sends 18 percent of its poultry abroad \u2014 don\u2019t vaccinate, for fear they\u2019ll miss out on a huge part of their revenue: international trade.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;without international coordination and predictable vaccine use, it doesn\u2019t make economic sense for vaccine makers to invest in developing vaccines that protect against the bird flu. \u201cWe\u2019re not going to make [massive investments] unless we\u2019ve got major markets on board,\u201d said du Marchie Sarvaas. \u201cAnd the only way you\u2019re going to get major markets on board is if you get some sort of political deal. And that comes to the trade point and the export point.\u201d&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It\u2019s also a geopolitical coordination challenge, a classic game theory problem where no major poultry-producing country wants to be the first to vaccinate. As a result, everyone sticks with the kill \u2019em all approach.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[1808,1807,978,725,1316,384,1407],"class_list":["post-9759","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article-share","tag-bird-flu","tag-eggs","tag-flu","tag-food","tag-inflation","tag-price","tag-prices"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9759"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9760,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9759\/revisions\/9760"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lonecandle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}