A ‘Stunning’ Element of the Alabama IVF Ruling

“The Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade marked a decades-long triumph for the right. But it’s also exposed tensions in the alliance between Republican politicians, who face voter backlash, and anti-abortion activists who seek even further restrictions.”

“There are two points of view. One point of view would say, well, for the anti-abortion movement to get anywhere, Republicans need to be in power. If they’re not in line on this and the movement is pursuing a course of action that hurts Republicans come November, that will hurt the movement.
Another point of view is that in a lot of states where the movement is operating, there is no realistic political competition. These are single party states. Regardless of what the movement does in those states, there’s not going to be any cost to Republicans come November. The movement needs to do what’s best for the movement and for its agenda and let the Republican Party figure it out.

I think increasingly that latter view is winning out. The older “You don’t want to jeopardize Republicans’ elections because Republicans are the movement’s path to power” doesn’t carry as much currency today as it once did.”

“a lot of leading anti-abortion groups view common contraceptives as abortifacients.”

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/02/29/ivf-anti-abortion-republicans-00143969

The Surprising Takeaway From My Survey on How Trump Got a Grip on the GOP Grassroots

“Last February, the county chairs were less supportive of Trump than Republican primary voters as a whole. Yet as time went on, and Trump consolidated support among rank-and-file voters, the chairs fell in line. It’s a reflection of the state of the GOP that has existed since 2016 when Trump first snatched the nomination away from the establishment and took over the Republican Party.
In the pre-Trump era, GOP leaders clearly played more of a role in steering the direction of the party. The 2012 campaign is instructive: Many different candidates were briefly the favorites of rank-and-file Republican voters, from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt Gingrich to Rick Santorum. But throughout the cycle, party elites’ money and endorsements stayed focused on Mitt Romney, and that’s who got the nomination. This year’s ongoing survey of county chairs illustrates how Republican elites are now more responsive to the grassroots rather than the other way around — either because they lack the interest or the ability to do anything else.”

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/03/04/trump-republicans-chairs-survey-00143360