Jonathan Conricus says Hamas would win “by a landslide” in new election — Sky News Australia

Countries recognizing a Palestinian state while Hamas is in power helps cement their power because Hamas can claim that their strategy worked. Their strategy of terrorist attacks and using their people as human shields worked to get the Palestinian state recognized by more countries.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KYQkD_vkxRE

Trump’s Caucasus ‘peace corridor’ explained

The Trump administration made a potentially good deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Azerbaijan wants a corridor to its territory that is separated by Armenia. Armenia would consider such a corridor an infringement of its sovereignty. Both sides agreed to let the U.S. and private companies manage the corridor while it remains Armenian territory.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzA3CFdEiMM

The Art of the Empty Trade Deal

“The Trump administration claims its tariffs are drawing countries to the table for tough negotiations. Yet in 2016, TPP partners were already there, ready to sign an agreement that closely reflected U.S. trade standards and practices, having overcome significant domestic hurdles. The TPP’s multilateral negotiating framework actually provided an efficient mechanism for participating countries to modernize their existing bilateral free trade agreements, and it augmented less comprehensive pacts like NAFTA and the Korea-U.S. agreement (KORUS).

The White House claims its new trade deal with Japan pushed “breakthrough openings” in agriculture and food, but the real groundwork was laid a decade earlier, when Shinzo Abe took on Japan’s powerful farm lobby in 2015, clearing the path for the TPP and softening resistance to liberalized agricultural trade. The TPP would have covered virtually all goods, including politically sensitive products like Japanese rice.

The 2025 deal also hardly qualifies as a “free trade deal,” with imports from Japan into the U.S. still subject to a 15 percent reciprocal tariff rate. Those tariffs are a tax on American businesses and consumers.

The TPP, by contrast, was slated to roll back 18,000 individual tariffs, making it “the largest tax cut on American exports in a generation.”

Building trade policy on headline‑driven, ad hoc bargains is an unstable strategy—made more precarious when the very tariffs they hinge on rest on contested executive authority. These arrangements may create the illusion of momentum, but without enforceable commitments or structural durability, they offer little of the stability that comprehensive trade agreements provide. The TPP demonstrated how a well‑designed pact could lock in reforms, deepen alliances, and shape the rules of global commerce for decades. Washington’s drift toward improvisation risks ceding that ground to others who are willing to play the long game—and win it.”

https://reason.com/2025/08/07/the-art-of-the-empty-trade-deal/

For Ukraine, ‘Losing Slowly’ Might Be a Winning Strategy

“Day by day, meter by meter, the Russian front rolls ever westward. More than a million casualties in, Russia’s general staff shows no sign of slackening; indeed, it is currently increasing pressure across the eastern front. Far-away analysts talk of “frozen” frontlines and “static” positions, but the truth is that the frontlines are a cauldron of combat activity, with Ukrainians fighting frantically to slow the creeping red tide. And yet, demoralizing as all this might seem, this steady loss holds the key to a potential triumph.

Losing as slowly as possible—husbanding one’s manpower and resources during a careful strategic retreat—is a time-tested strategy against an ostensibly superior force.

the slow retreat strategy only works if the enemy eventually breaks—either militarily, economically, or politically.”

https://reason.com/2025/08/11/for-ukraine-losing-slowly-might-be-a-winning-strategy/

The data is in: Many Canadians are still avoiding travel to the US

“Canadian travel to the United States by car has declined for seven consecutive months.

Canadians have said they are boycotting travel to the United States in response to Trump’s policies.”

https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/data-many-canadians-still-avoiding-003056944.html

After Another Delay, Trump’s China Tariffs Look Even Less Like a Legitimate ‘Emergency’

“To place huge new tariffs on imports from China, President Donald Trump claimed that those transactions are “an unusual and extraordinary threat” to the United States.

It’s a threat that the White House now says it can put off addressing for another 90 days.

This is not just a rhetorical point but a question that’s central to the legality of the tariffs. In front of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit last month, the Trump administration’s lawyer told skeptical judges that the president’s tariff powers rested upon the existence of an “unusual threat” that the president was taking action to “deal with.”

The latest delay in the China tariffs, then, seems to directly undermine that claim. If Trump wants to use the threat of tariffs to negotiate a new trade deal with China, fine, but then that’s not an emergency—and, as a result, those tariffs cannot be implemented with the emergency powers the president is currently claiming.”

https://reason.com/2025/08/12/after-another-delay-trumps-china-tariffs-look-even-less-like-a-legitimate-emergency/

Lithuania requests NATO help boost its air defenses after second drone crosses border

“Lithuania is calling on NATO to help strengthen its air defenses after a drone carrying 2 kilograms of explosives entered the country from Belarus and crashed in a military training area.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/lithuania-nato-air-defense-drone-belarus-russia/

Ukr War NEWS Update (20250813a): Overnight News – Pokrovsk Push Back, Druzhba PipeHit

Europe has given more than twice as much to Ukraine compared to the United States.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0W1ULjXaW4

Exclusive: Ukraine prepared to cede territory held by Russia & ‘breach’ sparks eastern front alarm

Exclusive: Ukraine prepared to cede territory held by Russia & ‘breach’ sparks eastern front alarm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BkEB6WCgqVU

This Diplomat Saw the Fall of the Shah Coming. Jimmy Carter Ignored Him.

It’s important to have in-country experts who can see and feel the changes afoot in a foreign country.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/08/06/washington-ignored-his-warnings-about-iran-then-he-was-taken-hostage-00495072