Producing Iran’s shahed drone requires many advanced components. Logistic supply lines need to remain open for Iran to continue producing many of those. Not only can the US and Israel bomb the factorites themselves, but it can also disrupt these supply lines.
Trump’s special military operation in Iran is failing. There’s no sign that the regime will be overthrown. The US and Israel can destroy a lot of equipment, but Iran still has a ground army and still has forces to keep control of the country. Without a massive ground invasion, there’s no sign that Trump’s special military operation will produce significant political results.
“U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls’ school that killed scores of children on Saturday but have not yet reached a final conclusion or completed their investigation, two U.S. officials told Reuters.”
Israel previously destroyed Iranian mixers needed to make medium range ballistic missiles. This was supposed to keep production offline for at least a year, but the Chinese gave Iran the equipment needed to rebuild the program. Iran decided to build way more of these missiles than before. These are a huge threat to Israel.
Killed Iranian leader, Khamenei, wanted to be America’s enemy. He even admitted that he thought his revolution needed enmity with the US.
Usually, when violence ends an authoritarian regime, it results in a new authoritarian government.
If Iranians think the US is arming sectarian factions in order to break up Iran, even Iranians who are against the regime may join with the regime to defeat the US encouraging sectarian rebellions.
Prediction markets are for some reason regulated as investments, when really they are gambling. They are prone to manipulation–not just insider trading, but someone can pay a person to throw a dildo in a basketball game and then bet that someone will throw a dildo in a basketball game; someone can bet that a certain guy will get punched in the face, and then go punch that guy in the face.