Lone Candle
Champion of Truth
Russian victory is not inevitable. Russian territorial progress has been slow, by May 9th Russian will have lost a million soldiers killed or wounded, Russia has about a year’s worth of armored vehicles left, Russian logistics is using: civilian vans, golf buggies, and donkeys, and the Russian economy is making huge sacrifices to support the wartime economy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMI6tc05Jzk
“Vance’s gamble to temporarily step into the limelight has paid off in at least one significant way. After Zelenskyy left the West Wing without signing a highly anticipated mineral rights deal, the White House responded by adopting one of Vance’s signature foreign policy initiatives: a total pause on U.S. military aid to Ukraine.”
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/03/05/jd-vance-ukraine-aid-zelenskyy-00211618
Russia is suffering from a deep deficit, high inflation, and high interest rates due to sustaining their invasion.
Russia is hurting and could decide that the war is not worth it if Ukraine had consistent backing.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kse-o0Oz2AI
“Raising the pension age has long been one of the most contentious issues in French politics. The country enjoys a generous welfare state, but as public debt piles up, policymakers are increasingly desperate to make savings.”
https://www.politico.eu/article/france-prime-minister-francois-bayrou-retirement-age-socialists/
“Twenty-five years ago, the European Union reacted with outrage at the prospect of a far-right politician, Jörg Haider, entering Austria’s government, turning the country into a virtual pariah.
This time? Crickets.
With Herbert Kickl, a right-wing hard-liner who advocates “remigration” for second- and third-generation immigrants, poised to become Austria’s next chancellor, the reaction from EU leaders so far has been to grin, bear it — and hope that Kickl won’t prove as disruptive around the EU leaders’ table as his prior positions suggest he might be.”
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““At this point, which country doesn’t have a right-wing populist in government to reckon with?” asked the first EU diplomat. “It’s really coming down to being pragmatic and practical, not morality.””
https://www.politico.eu/article/austria-far-right-herbert-kickl-europe-populism/
Ukraine has paid the U.S. in information crucial to understanding the military learnings of the war in Ukraine. This includes successful tactics and data on how our weapons perform.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hTm0of2znlE
Zelensky points out flaws in Trump’s and Vance’s positions and rhetoric, then Vance and Trump get pissed. Trump starts ranting about Hunter Biden and “hoaxes” about Russia. Trump basically says: go along with what I want, or we abandon you.
After the conversation, Zelensky still wants a deal; the Trump team says no.
Senator Graham blames everything on Zelensky, as opposed to what actually happened, showing that he has no dignity or honesty in service of Trump.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-B0qHCWvgjc
“Ukraine is unlikely to accept separate peace provisions because they know what much of the rest of the world seems willfully blind to: Russia is on its knees. With casualties approaching three-quarters of a million—with some 1,400 casualties added daily—the Russian behemoth is staggering and nearing collapse. It has lost over 10,000 main battle tanks, six times the combined number possessed by the UK, Spain, France, Italy, and Poland. Its economy is teetering, its disparate regions restless, and its federation is fractured. A rapid dissolution is not only possible, it grows increasingly likely.
Yes, Ukraine has suffered substantially, and its people are tired, but the country is far from desperate. Most cities operate entirely normally: café life is vigorous, and families go about their business as if war was a distant thought. It is common now for soldiers to blast away at Russian advances in the morning, then calmly nosh pizza in a quiet street that afternoon. Internal supply lines are a very powerful advantage. The pressure on Ukrainians to accept an imposed “peace” simply isn’t there. Like the early days, when the Ukrainian government opened armories to “allow the Ukrainian people to take whatever they need to defend themselves and their families,” the idea of national resistance remains firm.
Politicos and pundits will gather and quibble in faraway places about Ukraine’s future, but the conclusions they arrive at will be empty, irrelevant scraps of paper to Ukrainians dead set on continuing to fight for their freedom.”
https://reason.com/2025/03/03/ukraine-will-fight-on-with-or-without-the-west/
“Trump might end up getting less than he bargained for. Estimates of Ukraine’s supposed mineral wealth are based on outdated Soviet-era surveys that didn’t take into account the viability or cost of developing them.
The latest draft of the agreement, cited by Ukrainian newspaper Economic Pravda, would see Kyiv pay 50 percent of revenues from its state-owned natural resources into a fund that would invest in Ukraine. There would be no U.S. security guarantees in return.”
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“Though the country reports more than 20,000 surveyed mineral deposits and sites, only around 8,000 of them have been assessed as viable. Of these, fewer than half were being exploited before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago.”
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“China — which processes nearly 90 percent of rare earths worldwide — holds a “near monopoly” over this step in the supply chain, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Most major rare earth producers, including the U.S., lack the domestic know-how or infrastructure needed to refine the minerals, forcing them to rely on Beijing.
Developing infrastructure to do so in Ukraine would, even with U.S. investment, take years and would likely be less efficient than shipping the minerals to China for processing.”
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“Add to this investment the billions of dollars required to clear land of mines and explosives — which could take over a decade — and to rebuild essential infrastructure to sustain the mining sector, from roads to power plants.”
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“Several promising prospects are located in territories under Russian occupation.”
https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-bad-mineral-deal-ukraine-volodymyr-zelenskyy/
“Germany’s naval chief said on Tuesday that several of Berlin’s warships were sabotaged.”
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“German authorities have repeatedly suggested that Russia is the prime suspect but are still investigating many of these cases.”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/germany-said-warships-were-sabotaged-043336363.html