Jack Watling: Planning for a Post-American Future in Ukraine | Foreign Affairs Interview

Ukraine is hurting, but so is Russia. Russia is offering higher and higher pay for fighters, and will soon have to force more people into the military. They will also run low on equipment. If Ukraine had consistent support from partners, Russia would soon be in a tough position.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DzEzo8Nwh1A

Trump’s ‘failure’ in Ukraine risks war with Russia ‘in three years’

Defeating Russia in Ukraine would isolate Iran and deter both China and Russia from future aggression. China would be most deterred by a willing and strong U.S. bonded with many allies. Unfortunately, the U.S. is acting weak while at the same time damaging its alliances.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g6CLlNfjoew

Opinion | 7 Critical Things Trump Doesn’t Understand about Putin

“The bottom line is that Putin doesn’t yet have a good enough reason to agree to end the war.

What will change his mind? The carrots Trump has been offering must be replaced with sticks — effective and consistent policies designed to make the cost of waging war higher than the cost of peace.”

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/15/putin-ukraine-reasons-war-00290138

Russian defense spending overtakes Europe, study finds

In purchasing power parity terms, Russia’s military spending is higher than Europe’s.

https://www.politico.eu/article/russian-defense-spending-overtakes-europe-study-finds/

EU takes revenge on Trump’s tariffs as countries approve €20B+ retaliation

“The EU can apply retaliatory tariffs on nearly €21 billion of U.S. products like soybeans, motorcycles and orange juice after the bloc’s 27 countries assented to the measures on Wednesday, the European Commission announced.

“The EU considers U.S. tariffs unjustified and damaging, causing economic harm to both sides, as well as the global economy. The EU has stated its clear preference to find negotiated outcomes with the U.S., which would be balanced and mutually beneficial,” the EU executive said in a statement.

Hitting back against U.S. President Donald Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, the European Union’s countermeasures will apply in three rounds. Measures covering €3.9 billion in trade will go into force next week, with a further €13.5 billion from mid-May and a final round of €3.5 billion following in December.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-takes-revenge-on-trumps-metals-tariffs-approved-as-countries-close-ranks/

Russia – Ukraine War. Operational Report Q1’25 [Mapped]

Ukraine’s biggest problem is a lack of manpower. Russia’s manpower advantage is growing. Russia doesn’t want a ceasefire, because Putin believes he has the advantage and can gain more by continuing the war.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iK1N1nTjbic