Lone Candle
Champion of Truth
The Iran war may be pushing the US into recession. It could cost the US economy 200 billion, or even a trillion, dollars.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sYcacsfqrq0
$750M Destroyed: How Russia Assisted Iran’s Biggest Strike of the War So Far
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UqQ_bNXhnIo
“Officials from Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Bahrain have conveyed in private conversations that they do not want the military operation to end until there are significant changes in the Iranian leadership or there’s a dramatic shift in Iranian behavior, according to the officials, who were not authorized to comment publicly and spoke on the condition of anonymity.”
https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/gulf-allies-privately-case-trump-213824075.html
John Bolton believes Trump made many mistakes in this war, although he is for war to change the Iranian regime.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VSR3HmI3z1E
The US, Gulf states, and Israel are quickly running out of missile and drone interceptors.
The US also used over 25% of their long-range Tomahawks, possibly 45% of their JASSMs, and over 25% of their ATACMS.
By mid-May, the US could be out of many of these weapons.
The US has failed to build sufficient manufacturing capability. It will take many years to replace these munitions.
The US will have to use dumber bombs and take more hits on the defense if the war goes on.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0234zEi1AG4
The Iran war has spread to Iraq. Iranian militias in Iraq are attacking Americans and American facilities, and the US is striking back.
Israel has supported Balochi rebels in Eastern Iran while pretending to be the American CIA.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8fvXaBy0ok
People like Ted Cruz act like destroying a bunch of stuff and killing a bunch of people means the US is winning the war.
War isn’t a sports game where the side with the most points wins. If the US fails to achieve its political objectives, which according to Ted Cruz is a new and friendly regime, then the US loses.
Anywhere US infantry concentrates near or in Iran, is going to get pulverized by Iranian missiles and drones.
The British couldn’t take Gallipoli in Turkey during World War I with 500,000 men. That campaign is analogous to potential ground invasions of Iran. For the US to invade, Iran’s missile and drone abilities have to be eliminated, but despite the many used and taken out, Iran seems to have enough left. In WWII, the US invasion of Normandy was a bloody affair, but Germany’s long range ability was taken out by then or on the eastern front. American military people may be in trouble if they land on Iran.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zl_8LaoXJEc
The Air Force has a doctrine where it should spread out planes and move which bases they fly from so it’s harder to take them out. The US apparently wasn’t practicing that doctrine, and is paying for it.
It is more expensive to move maintenance teams around or have different teams available at multiple bases.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUJXlHTFBAI
Multiple times, Trump has drawn a red line about attacking Iran’s energy facilities, and then backed off. Iran has been calling Trump’s bluff. Both economically and militarily, Trump likes to push around countries not willing to stand up to the US. But, when countries do, Trump gets his ass kicked. China won the trade war. Iran is winning this war. Trump is a classic bully who only wins when the victim doesn’t fight back.
Iranian pragmatic officials are being replaced with hardliners.
Trump’s choice may be: accept the L, or massively escalate.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RzRhv8NiHWA
It’s starting to feel like victory can only be had with half a million troops and a full-scale invasion of Iran.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fXBB-OauESk