Lone Candle
Champion of Truth
Former US Colonel Peter Mansoor says Trump thought Iran would surrender just from air attacks and didn’t have a plan for if they didn’t. He also said the war is unconstitutional, and that while a part of him is happy to see Iran get pain after killing hundreds of Americans in the Iraq war, most of him worries that Trump doesn’t have a plan and has opened a can of worms.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RbPfiSB-MN8
Trump initially said he was a militaristic guy but that he was against dumb wars like the war in Iraq. He later shifted to a more peace-focused rhetoric when he realized that was popular. But, he never had a strong belief in peace and always believed in the use of leverage and military force.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24UV7imfIRk
Much of America is enthralled by a demagogue who never had policy competency or decent character, and who has staffed his administration with many unqualified people and some who previously pretended like they stood for something but are now sycophantic enablers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GAiTSVZjD-k
The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xcXfcXJvMXg
Ships are turning toward Iranian islands, checking in with Iran, and then moving on if they are one of the few allowed ships. Iran controls the Strait.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eqr3s6uTays
Regime change wars have never been successful from the air with conventional weapons. Administrations get wooed by the ability to strike targets with precision from afar, and forget that blowing a bunch of stuff up and killing important people doesn’t end a regime’s ability to suppress its people or fight back.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YptXQ3UFumQ
The government ignored late night shows for a long time as far as the equal time rules. The rule could be applied to comedy and talk shows, but the Trump administration is unlikely to apply it fairly, rather than based on who bends their speech to Trump’s will.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXvJkknt1do
Ships can get insurance to go through the Strait of Hormuz, but most ships won’t go through because they don’t think it is safe enough.
Iranian ships are still going through and the US is letting them.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SELRtaciaI
Iran was prepared for the US to dominate with “overwhelming” airpower. Iran saw the US take out Saddam’s centralized command with airpower and decided to focus on missiles, drones, and decentralization. Taking out the snake’s head is less effective when there are many snakes with their own weapons, each able to lash out. Iran knew it couldn’t go toe to toe with the US in the skies, so scattered and hid their weapons. Iran knows that the US would not like a long war, so they planned for a long war where a determined Iran can outlast a US that grows weary with the costs of war.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LGCjDWZthk0
The Iran war has been great for Russia so far. It’s oil is worth more thanks to the war. Some sanctions on its oil have been lifted by Trump as he tries to lower gas prices. The many munitions used by the US in the war mean there are fewer for the Europeans to buy for Ukraine. It allows Russia and China to go around the world saying how evil the US is, unjustly attacking a global south country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1LvPObzkF-8