“Violent clashes between protesters and security forces in Pakistan’s southern port city of Karachi and in the country’s north left at least 22 people dead and more than 120 others injured as demonstrators supportive of the Iranian government attempted to storm a U.S. Consulate on Sunday
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The violence came after the United States and Israel attacked Iran, killing its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
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In addition, 12 people were killed and over 80 wounded in clashes with police in the northern Gilgit-Baltistan region when thousands of protesters angered by U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran attacked the offices of the U.N. Military Observer Group and the U.N. Development Programme (UNDP)”
Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz is limited, but not closed. In the Red Sea, shipping could go a longer way around, but there is no alternative route for shipping in and out of the Persian gulf. This will likely increase the price of oil.
“Pahlavi allies have crafted a hefty plan for a post-Islamist Iran, called the Iran Prosperity Project. It envisions an emergency phase in the wake of the regime’s fall during which Pahlavi and his aides say keeping the country stable will be crucial. But that emergency phase plan also gives the leader of the transition — presumably Pahlavi — significant power that makes some activists nervous.
While Pahlavi has long called for a secular democracy in Iran, he has also said Iranians should decide what type of government they want. The Prosperity Project envisions Iranians eventually having a choice between a “democratic monarchy” and a “democratic republic.””
Iran could hit a US carrier with a hypersonic missile, but hitting a moving carrier and not getting shot down while the missile itself it moving and partially blinded by the plasma created by its extreme speeds…is very difficult, and it’s not clear how many of these missiles Iran has, or if they work.
Iran is an evil regime and has been evil and aggressive toward the US and its friends for a long time. But, regime change without a land invasion will require a sustained effort that includes cooperating with groups on the ground, and it’s not clear the Trump administration has the strategy to succeed in such an effort.