Ukr War NEWS Update (20250813a): Overnight News – Pokrovsk Push Back, Druzhba PipeHit

Europe has given more than twice as much to Ukraine compared to the United States.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0W1ULjXaW4

This Diplomat Saw the Fall of the Shah Coming. Jimmy Carter Ignored Him.

It’s important to have in-country experts who can see and feel the changes afoot in a foreign country.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/08/06/washington-ignored-his-warnings-about-iran-then-he-was-taken-hostage-00495072

Trump’s trade deal is killing a British industry

“Vivergo’s plant is now at risk of closure due to the U.K.-U.S. trade deal, which allows 1.4 billion liters of tariff-free American ethanol into the British market. It’s a volume Vivergo’s managing director Ben Hackett says is equivalent to the entire U.K. bioethanol market.
Unless ministers intervene, 160 staff at Vivergo — one of only two major bioethanol producers in the U.K. — will lose their jobs from Aug. 18. Thousands more in farming and haulage will also feel the impact.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-trade-deal-us-uk-wheat-farming-ethanol-market/

Trump’s Tariffs and Japan Deal Could Encourage Toyota To Move Manufacturing Jobs Out of America

“With a series of short-sighted tariff maneuvers, the president has effectively told Toyota (and other Japanese carmakers) that it should do more of its manufacturing in Japan and stop trying to create jobs in America.

Earlier this week, President Donald Trump announced a new trade deal with Japan that will include a 15 percent tariff on Japanese goods, including imported cars. The details of the deal remain somewhat vague, but that’s a significant discount compared to the 25 percent tariff the administration has imposed on cars imported from everywhere else.

The reduced tariffs for Japanese cars are significant because of how that provision interacts with the Trump administration’s other trade policies that are aimed at making it more expensive to manufacture cars in the United States. The president has imposed a 50 percent tariff on steel and aluminum (both of which are essential for automakers) and has slapped a 25 percent tariff on imported cars and car parts. Those tariffs are already dinging the profits of American carmakers—General Motors reportedly lost more than $1 billion in the second quarter of the year—and auto industry experts say they will raise prices, reduce demand for new cars, and generally make American cars less globally competitive.

In short, the Trump administration is offering an incentive to import finished cars from Japan, while making it more expensive to buy the stuff you need to build cars in America.

Ultimately, the problem here is not the specific tariff rates the Trump administration is seeking to charge on steel, car parts, or cars imported from Japan or Mexico. (Those rates are likely to change anyway, if the past few months of the trade war are any indication.)

No, the real problem here is the Trump administration’s belief that it can use tariffs to shape the global trading system toward contradicting goals with no tradeoffs or distortions. In reality, each new tariff move causes both. The market responds to incentives, and right now, the Trump administration is creating a set of incentives that will raise costs for American manufacturers while driving investors overseas.”

https://reason.com/2025/07/25/trumps-tariffs-and-japan-deal-could-encourage-toyota-to-move-manufacturing-jobs-out-of-america/

USA Vehicle Disaster

The Japanese trade deal is actually bad for U.S. car companies. Cars manufactured in Japan will have a 15% tariff on them, but cars made in Mexico by U.S. companies will have a 25% tariff, giving U.S. companies a disadvantage. They could move that back to the U.S., but the move itself is costly, and the cost to make the cars in the U.S. is even costlier.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CfxC6hCMlmI

Did Trump Just Trick the E.U. Into a Trade Deal? | Raging Moderates

Prof G and Jessica Tarlov are big fans of Hilldog.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5dgHs_wIkE

Europe Caves to Trump on Tariffs

Trump’s EU trade deal is only a win if a 15% tax on imports from Europe is a win. Things from Europe being more expensive, and importing companies making less money, are bad for the economy and the people in it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6htfcWxknU

Is America Ceding Ground to China in the Pacific?

U.S. tariffing and ending aid to Pacific countries in such a way that makes the U.S. look like an erratic and bad partner, and makes China look relatively better.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B77a8o3RSUw