The Art of the Empty Trade Deal

“The Trump administration claims its tariffs are drawing countries to the table for tough negotiations. Yet in 2016, TPP partners were already there, ready to sign an agreement that closely reflected U.S. trade standards and practices, having overcome significant domestic hurdles. The TPP’s multilateral negotiating framework actually provided an efficient mechanism for participating countries to modernize their existing bilateral free trade agreements, and it augmented less comprehensive pacts like NAFTA and the Korea-U.S. agreement (KORUS).

The White House claims its new trade deal with Japan pushed “breakthrough openings” in agriculture and food, but the real groundwork was laid a decade earlier, when Shinzo Abe took on Japan’s powerful farm lobby in 2015, clearing the path for the TPP and softening resistance to liberalized agricultural trade. The TPP would have covered virtually all goods, including politically sensitive products like Japanese rice.

The 2025 deal also hardly qualifies as a “free trade deal,” with imports from Japan into the U.S. still subject to a 15 percent reciprocal tariff rate. Those tariffs are a tax on American businesses and consumers.

The TPP, by contrast, was slated to roll back 18,000 individual tariffs, making it “the largest tax cut on American exports in a generation.”

Building trade policy on headline‑driven, ad hoc bargains is an unstable strategy—made more precarious when the very tariffs they hinge on rest on contested executive authority. These arrangements may create the illusion of momentum, but without enforceable commitments or structural durability, they offer little of the stability that comprehensive trade agreements provide. The TPP demonstrated how a well‑designed pact could lock in reforms, deepen alliances, and shape the rules of global commerce for decades. Washington’s drift toward improvisation risks ceding that ground to others who are willing to play the long game—and win it.”

https://reason.com/2025/08/07/the-art-of-the-empty-trade-deal/

The data is in: Many Canadians are still avoiding travel to the US

“Canadian travel to the United States by car has declined for seven consecutive months.

Canadians have said they are boycotting travel to the United States in response to Trump’s policies.”

https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/data-many-canadians-still-avoiding-003056944.html

Lithuania requests NATO help boost its air defenses after second drone crosses border

“Lithuania is calling on NATO to help strengthen its air defenses after a drone carrying 2 kilograms of explosives entered the country from Belarus and crashed in a military training area.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/lithuania-nato-air-defense-drone-belarus-russia/

Ukr War NEWS Update (20250813a): Overnight News – Pokrovsk Push Back, Druzhba PipeHit

Europe has given more than twice as much to Ukraine compared to the United States.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g0W1ULjXaW4

Exclusive: Ukraine prepared to cede territory held by Russia & ‘breach’ sparks eastern front alarm

Exclusive: Ukraine prepared to cede territory held by Russia & ‘breach’ sparks eastern front alarm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BkEB6WCgqVU

This Diplomat Saw the Fall of the Shah Coming. Jimmy Carter Ignored Him.

It’s important to have in-country experts who can see and feel the changes afoot in a foreign country.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/08/06/washington-ignored-his-warnings-about-iran-then-he-was-taken-hostage-00495072

Trump’s trade deal is killing a British industry

“Vivergo’s plant is now at risk of closure due to the U.K.-U.S. trade deal, which allows 1.4 billion liters of tariff-free American ethanol into the British market. It’s a volume Vivergo’s managing director Ben Hackett says is equivalent to the entire U.K. bioethanol market.
Unless ministers intervene, 160 staff at Vivergo — one of only two major bioethanol producers in the U.K. — will lose their jobs from Aug. 18. Thousands more in farming and haulage will also feel the impact.”

https://www.politico.eu/article/donald-trump-trade-deal-us-uk-wheat-farming-ethanol-market/

Fareed’s Take: Trump’s tariffs have caused a seismic shift in world affairs

The U.S. created a world based on relatively free trade. Most benefited from it. Now Trump is pulling us back from that world, and most people, including most Americans, will be hurt by that.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4wiPYWVV_4

USA Vehicle Disaster

The Japanese trade deal is actually bad for U.S. car companies. Cars manufactured in Japan will have a 15% tariff on them, but cars made in Mexico by U.S. companies will have a 25% tariff, giving U.S. companies a disadvantage. They could move that back to the U.S., but the move itself is costly, and the cost to make the cars in the U.S. is even costlier.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CfxC6hCMlmI

Is Pressure on Indo-Pacific Allies Working?

Trump’s careless policies toward countries in the Indo-Pacific will make it harder for future administrations to cooperate with these countries.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3rPY695Roc